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Did U.S. Elections Signal End To Democracy In Iraq?
By Jeff Lukens
Elections
have consequences. And for our recent election, the consequences have been
a major setback in the war on terror and a greater threat to terrorist
attack at home. This is so because a public with an attention deficit
disorder has elected a liberal congress that wants pull the plug on Iraq
at the first face-saving chance they get.
Many
people draw comparisons between the war in Iraq and the war in Vietnam.
Since the election I've had the nagging feeling we are in about the 1973
phase of the Vietnam War. That year the power shift in Washington away
from a conservative president toward a liberal congress doomed the war
effort and in effect condemned millions of our Vietnamese allies to death
and reeducation camps. A similar scenario may now be unfolding regarding
Iraq.
The
effort to preserve our interests in the region just got a lot more
difficult as antiwar Democrats take over Congress backed by a sympathetic
press. Together they have convinced the public that Iraq is a costly
misstep, and Republicans have not persuaded anyone otherwise.
Much
of President Bush's strategy has been based on Natan Sharansky's book, The
Case for Democracy. In it,
Sharansky stresses that freedom abroad and security at home are linked,
and that there can be no peace without democracy. His book has become the
basis of the post-9/11 strategic thinking.
Sharansky
says that countries that do not protect the right of dissent, and other
human rights, can never be reliable partners in peace. Democracies do not
attack other democracies because they rely on the popular backing of their
people, and most people go to war only when absolutely necessary.
Theoretically,
the freedom that democracy offered in Iraq would be infectious to people
in surrounding countries, and thereby would strengthen the U.S. position
in the entire region.
That's
a lot of theory. Reality, on the other hand, has played out a bit
differently.
While
the U.S. military has performed heroically, the insurgency has not been
contained. And without a greater commitment than we are willing to give,
we cannot keep the Iraqis from fighting each other. A growing number of
critics have concluded the Middle East overall, and Iraq specifically, are
not ready for democracy. A new strategy may be now necessary.
Though
many people here may be worn-out on the war, our enemies are not. And
because of our war-weariness, we have handed our Congress over to those
who care least about our security. The last thing we need to do at this
time is to show a lack of resolve, but that is exactly what we have done.
So,
we now face a stark choice. We can either maintain our efforts in Iraq, or
we can withdraw.
Like
Vietnam, our enemies view us as not having the stomach to fight a
protracted war. If we withdraw, however, the credibility of the U.S., our
military, and our assurances will be lost for years, probably decades.
The
Iraqis are watching all this, and they can see which way the wind is
blowing. They know if we leave, either the Sunni insurgency or the
Iranians will likely come in, and their newly gained freedoms will be
lost. This reality shapes the thoughts and actions of all Iraqi officials,
from Prime Minister al-Maliki, down to the police officers on the street.
And
like it or not, our position in Iraq is also tied to Iran. It's quite
clear Iran wants the bomb, a strong influence among Iraqi Shiites, and with
Hezbollah. Because of our wavering, our ability to deal with them just got
a lot more difficult as well. Perhaps "staying the course" was
not such a bad idea after all.
Many
Americans are in denial about the threat from radical Islam.
Unfortunately, it may take another 9/11 before they wake up. God help us
if one of our cities gets nuked when that happens.
American
efforts to establish a western-style democracy in Iraq have been noble. We
must now face reality, however, and do whatever it takes to secure a
stable, and perhaps not-so-democratic government in Baghdad, that is
friendly toward the United States. Martial law and other harsh measures
may be necessary. We cannot afford to let them fail.
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