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No More Vietnams
By Jeff Lukens
The war in Iraq may be ending in much the same way
the war in Vietnam appeared to be ending in 1973 with the signing of the
Paris Peace Accords. We had finally won in Vietnam, but then lost the
peace two years later. The outcome of the 2008 presidential election
could determine whether Iraq becomes "another Vietnam" should there be a
significant renewal of insurgent activity.
The Left would have us believe we were stuck in Iraq in
an endless and unwinnable quagmire like they said we had in Vietnam. That
comparison, however, has not held up. While much about the two wars is
similar, a key difference was Lyndon Johnson's muddled strategy in Vietnam
compared with George W. Bush's winning strategy in Iraq.
In 1965, Johnson should have decided either to win the
war quickly or to pull U.S. forces out and go home. Instead, he chose a
middle road that resulted in a series of "measured responses" and troop
escalations that lead to a debacle. One measured response Johnson employed
was restrictive rules of engagement. Barry Goldwater identified a few in his
autobiography:
"American pilots were not permitted to attack North
Vietnamese MIGs sitting on the runway. It could only be attacked when it was
flying and showed "hostile intent." . . . SAM missile sites and supporting
radar could not be struck while under construction, only after they became
operational and actually fired at U.S. aircraft."
And on and on they went. Not surprisingly, North
Vietnamese aggressiveness increased in direct proportion to our restraint
resulting in many needless U.S. casualties. It is an ironic fact that the
threat of swift and effective military action is one of the best ways to
insure peace. A quick and decisive war, moreover, will result in far fewer
casualties for both sides than one that drags on for years.
If Johnson was serious about winning, he should have
made that clear early on. Goldwater believed LBJ should have publicly stated
what he intended to do if the North Vietnamese continued to wage war against
the South. That probably would have meant the threat of destroying their
factories, ports, dikes, and infrastructure. Such an attack would have to
have been launched when we were still a credible adversary, and not years
later when our resolve was clearly fading.
When any president goes to war, he has a limited amount
of time to win it before the people grow weary and want out. By March 1968,
that time had come for LBJ.
Contrary to the media's portrayal of an endless
unwinnable war in Vietnam, however, we virtually annihilated the Viet Cong
during the Tet Offensive. In a matter of weeks, Ho Chí Minh effectively lost
the "people's war" by solidifying the South against him. That year, it also
became apparent that a negotiated settlement was perhaps the best outcome we
could hope for in Vietnam. To reach that end, however, several difficult
years of building up South Vietnamese forces would lay ahead. Richard
Nixon's Vietnamization policy was designed to achieve just that, and proved
to be successful.
Only after determined South Vietnamese resistance
against the 1972 offensive, and twelve consecutive days of devastating B-52
air strikes on North Vietnam did Hanoi move toward a genuine peace
agreement. As part of the deal, we agreed to be the enforcer of the 1973
Paris Peace Accords. But when North Vietnamese violations occurred, antiwar
liberals in Congress prevented us from fulfilling our commitments to the
treaty.
Congress cut funding and slowly starved South Vietnam
of the supplies they needed to defend themselves. The Soviets, meanwhile,
continued to pump arms into the North. Public apathy, a scandalized
president and a liberal Congress gave up all for which we had struggled. The
U.S. effectively abandoned Southeast Asia, and the North Vietnamese and
Khmer Rouge moved in -- with horrific results. And in doing so, we betrayed
our trusted allies and our own good name.
In both Vietnam and Iraq, our cause was just. A valid
debate continues on whether we should have fought either one of them. But it
must be acknowledged that once we are committed to war the only acceptable
way out is victory. Bush may have been unprepared for the insurgency that
followed his initial success, but we always knew he would ultimately do
whatever was necessary it win. For more than five years he has been able to
maintain Congressional funding and public support and to achieve success.
Unlike Johnson in Vietnam, George W. Bush clearly
warned Saddam Hussein of the consequences of not abiding by UN resolutions.
Saddam ignored them, and was crushed within days of the start of the war.
Our early aggressiveness in the war was a principle reason casualties in
Iraq were so much lower than they were in Vietnam.
The effectiveness of Iraqi soldiers and police were
agonizingly inept in the early days, but they eventually improved. The "Anbar
Awakening" and the counterinsurgency surge strategy were major turning
points in the war. Today, Iraqis are taking over security of their country.
The media's cries of "another Vietnam" started even
before Baghdad fell, and increased as the insurgency took hold. Their
"objective reporting" served mostly to encourage the terrorists in Iraq and
to discourage the American people. Their misrepresentations ended only when
the success of the surge became unmistakable to even a causal observer.
We would have lost Iraq by now if not for Bush's
stubborn insistence that losing was not an option. When the media and most
of the political establishment were united against him, he found a way to
win.
A decade after his presidency, Nixon wrote: "'No More
Vietnams' can mean we will not try again. It should mean we will not fail
again."
To avoid future Vietnams, we must swiftly win on the
battlefield and then maintain the peace afterward. Keeping the peace
especially applies now to Iraq and the 2008 elections. One for the first
decisions the new president will make is to determine what circumstances we
will withdraw for Iraq. Any perception that jihadist forces drove the U.S.
out of Iraq in defeat will have a huge destabilizing effect in Iraq and in
the region.
Should insurgent activity return to Iraq in a major
way, we can be reasonably assured John McCain will do what is necessary to
overcome it. With McCain, we can be confident the U.S. will leave Iraq
honorably.
On the other hand, Barack Obama's many
contrary and incoherent statements about Iraq reassure no one about our
ultimate success there, and essentially invites our enemies to return. His
failure to even admit the surge has worked raises doubts about his fitness
to be president. With Obama, we can only wonder how long a recurrence of
insurgency would continue before he would abandon the Iraqis and condemn
them to "another Vietnam."
081108
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